2. The (Former?) Centrality of Broadcast Networks
As technology provides new platforms for video distribution, advertisers should start to ask the same question - why does sending my data over these (broadcast) pipes cost so much more than these other (internet, DVD, etc) pipes? In a way, channels 7,9, and 10 are a lot like the mobile phone operators, in that their market position allows them to charge premiums (in this case for advertising) because up until now they have been the only game in town. New platforms will allow advertisers to think strategically about where they put their money:
$XXXXX = the Australian broadcasting rights to a season of a prime time show.
$XXXXXXX = how much the show brings in from advertising per season.
$XXXXXXX = Unilever advertising spend (per year).
New strategies may involve buying the rights to a show and distributing it yourself. Myer could buy the Australian rights to Desperate Housewives and distribute the show over the internet with just a Myer watermark and maybe a quick 'top and tail'. (See "Piracy is Good?" video) Johnson and Johnson (Clearasil) could buy Home and Away, chop it into segments and distribute it over mobile phones.
Alternately, advertisers may want to build their own show instead of an ad. Ferrari could build their own informational car show to appeal to enthusiasts.
These may be terrible ideas, but they illustrate the point that the market for content will go from being a simple linear chain in which channels buy shows and sell advertising space to a multi polar world in which different companies may invest in content for a multitude of different reasons and at varying price points.